Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Inter Miami |
50.13% ( 0.44) | 22.27% ( 0.23) | 27.61% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 63.56% ( -1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.66% ( -1.61) | 36.34% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.53% ( -1.79) | 58.47% ( 1.79) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.18% ( -0.43) | 14.82% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.89% ( -0.84) | 43.11% ( 0.84) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( -1.26) | 25.39% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( -1.77) | 60.2% ( 1.77) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.25% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 33 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |