Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
44.01% ( -3.58) | 25.66% ( 0.73) | 30.33% ( 2.85) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.86% ( -1.53) | 50.13% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.9% ( -1.38) | 72.1% ( 1.38) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( -2.24) | 22.71% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( -3.44) | 56.37% ( 3.44) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( 1.3) | 30.54% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% ( 1.51) | 66.77% ( -1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.01% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |