World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Indonesia1 - 0Vietnam
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 4-0 Indonesia
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Indonesia 2-1 Vietnam
Coming off a humbling loss against Australia, Indonesia will head into Thursday's game looking to bounce back. While we expect Vietnam to put up a fight, we are backing the Red and White to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
Result | ||
Indonesia | Draw | Vietnam |
42.91% ( 0.48) | 24.71% ( 0.05) | 32.38% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% ( -0.38) | 45.17% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( -0.36) | 67.51% ( 0.36) |
Indonesia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( 0.06) | 21.11% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% ( 0.09) | 53.94% ( -0.09) |
Vietnam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.5) | 26.72% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( -0.67) | 61.98% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Indonesia 42.91%
Vietnam 32.38%
Draw 24.7%
Indonesia | Draw | Vietnam |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.38% |
How you voted: Indonesia vs Vietnam
Indonesia
48.8%Draw
18.6%Vietnam
32.6%43
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 2.30pm
Jun 7, 2021 5.45pm
Second Round
Vietnam
4-0
Indonesia
Linh Nguyen (51'), Hai Nguyen (62'), Phuong Nguyen (67'), Thanh Vu (74')
Hai Nguyen (20'), Chung Nguyen (87')
Hai Nguyen (20'), Chung Nguyen (87')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-02 00:43:56
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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