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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
0 - 0
Gaziantep


Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 6 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Pendikspor
Friday, January 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Gaziantep

While the last five meetings between Hatayspor and Gaziantep have produced a combined 18 goals, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Mersin Stadium on Wednesday. Despite their recent struggles, Hatayspor have lost just two home games since January 2023 and we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HataysporDrawGaziantep
48.84% (0.736 0.74) 24.89% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.247 -0.25)49.27% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.223 -0.22)71.32% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.21000000000001 0.21)20.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.333 0.33)52.51% (-0.331 -0.33)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)33.14% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.747 -0.75)69.74% (0.74799999999999 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.84%
    Gaziantep 26.27%
    Draw 24.88%
HataysporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Gaziantep

Hatayspor
44.4%
Draw
16.7%
Gaziantep
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 42
Hatayspor
0-1
Gaziantep

Abdioglu (45+1')
Jefferson (73')
Kozulj (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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