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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Subaru Park
Minnesota United

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have had little problem finding the back of the net of late, so we expect an open and exciting contest here. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
54.94% (-1.191 -1.19) 22.19% (0.504 0.5) 22.88% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-1.499 -1.5)40.56% (1.508 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-1.557 -1.56)62.94% (1.565 1.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.884 -0.88)14.71% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (-1.727 -1.73)42.9% (1.735 1.74)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)31.26% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)67.6% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.94%
    Minnesota United 22.88%
    Draw 22.18%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.311 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Philadelphia
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (35')
Glesnes (41'), Andres Martinez (51')
Lod (23')
Boxall (74'), Lod (79'), Reynoso (85')
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Jun 2, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 19
Minnesota Utd
2-3
Philadelphia
Dotson (28'), Molino (77')
Kallman (17')
Monteiro (18' pen.), Medunjanin (44'), Trusty (86')
Aaronson (45'), Wagner (89'), Gaddis (91'), Blake (93')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 37
Philadelphia
5-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (8'), Bedoya (17'), Picault (23', 44'), Ilsinho (79')
Bedoya (56'), Picault (72')
Quintero (54')
Gomez (72'), Bob (75')
Sep 10, 2017 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Philadelphia
Finlay (40')
Sapong (5')
Wijnaldum (38'), Chijioke Onyewu (55'), Pereira Dias Junior (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18104441271434
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Toronto178272625126
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164751921-219
10DC United174672431-718
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire172781629-1313
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101026-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177823124729
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432519628
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10St Louis City154742324-119
11Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592329-611
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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