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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
55.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 22.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)43.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.31%
    FC Cincinnati 22.28%
    Draw 22.4%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 1am
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
gameweek 13
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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