Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
41.48% ( -0) | 25.91% ( 0) | 32.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.6% ( -0.03) | 50.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% ( -0.02) | 72.33% ( 0.02) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( -0.01) | 24.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.67% ( -0.01) | 58.33% ( 0.01) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% ( -0.02) | 29.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% ( -0.02) | 65.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Toronto | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
11 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 18 |
12 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | St Louis City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |