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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Go Ahead Eagles.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
12.22% ( -1.92) | 17.32% ( -0.72) | 70.45% ( 2.64) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -3.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( -1.35) | 37.02% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( -1.47) | 59.21% ( 1.47) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.52% ( -3.73) | 41.48% ( 3.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.02% ( -3.46) | 77.98% ( 3.46) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( 0.27) | 9.38% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( 0.63) | 31.57% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.22% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.51) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.32% | 0-2 @ 10.89% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.69) 0-3 @ 8.6% ( 0.83) 1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.55) 1-4 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.36) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.29) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.19) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.33% Total : 70.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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