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Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Fluminense
vs.
Alianza Lima

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sampaio Correa
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw has a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alianza Lima has a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Alianza Lima win it is 0-1 (4.83%).

Result
FluminenseDrawAlianza Lima
63.05% (1.939 1.94) 20.67% (-0.32 -0.32) 16.28% (-1.62 -1.62)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-2.337 -2.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51% (-1.423 -1.42)43.49% (1.421 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12% (-1.414 -1.41)65.88% (1.412 1.41)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (0.125 0.13)13.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (0.252 0.25)39.86% (-0.254 -0.25)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (-2.785 -2.79)39.82% (2.783 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (-2.666 -2.67)76.49% (2.664 2.66)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 63.04%
    Alianza Lima 16.28%
    Draw 20.67%
FluminenseDrawAlianza Lima
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.75 0.75)
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.696 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.54 0.54)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.29 0.29)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 63.04%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.239 -0.24)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.28%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Alianza Lima
1-1
Fluminense
Serna (35')
Huaman (22'), Pablo Freytes (85')
Marquinhos (72')
Melo (58')
rhs 2.0
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