Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Aurora1 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Aurora and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aurora win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aurora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aurora in this match.
Result | ||
Aurora | Draw | Melgar |
44.43% ( -0.4) | 26.37% ( 0.14) | 29.2% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( -0.42) | 53.52% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.36) | 75.04% ( 0.36) |
Aurora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0.38) | 23.97% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( -0.54) | 58.21% ( 0.54) |
Melgar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.89% ( -0.02) | 33.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.29% ( -0.03) | 69.71% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aurora 44.43%
Melgar 29.2%
Draw 26.37%
Aurora | Draw | Melgar |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.2% |
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Aurora
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 23:42:50
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid - as it happened
2
Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid - highlights, man of the match, best stats
3
Arsenal 'make contact over move for £17m-rated Barcelona man'
4
How Germany could line up against Ukraine
5
Man United 'add £60m Brazilian to attacking transfer shortlist'
6
Real Madrid beat Dortmund at Wembley to win 15th European Cup
7
Arsenal, Man United midfield target confirms transfer stance amid £20m claim
8
Three left-backs Man Utd could sign this summer
9
Barcelona 'could sell attacker for £85.2m this summer'
10
Argentina Copa America 2024 squad: Who makes the cut? Which stars miss out?
Sport News 24/7